Natalia Fehr vs Aleksandra Mateva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve proficiency shows Natalia Fehr winning 39.22% of such points recently, compared to Aleksandra Mateva's 23.46%. Could this determine the winner? Higher second serve point percentage often does.
• In return games, Aleksandra Mateva slightly edges out Natalia Fehr with 51.59% success on second serve returns versus Fehr's 50.81%. However, Fehr leads in first serve returns with 37.00% against Mateva's 27.51%, offering her a potential advantage.
• Handling pressure, Fehr excels by saving 41.94% of breakpoints, a significant edge over Mateva's 23.19%, valuable for in-game momentum.
• Overall match performances show Mateva at a higher win rate of 37.04% in the past year, compared to Fehr's 28.13%. Does Mateva's overall success reflect consistent play?
• Best playing surfaces vary; Fehr performs optimally on Hard courts with a 24% win record, while Mateva favors Clay courts with a similar win percentage.
• In lower-tier tournaments, Mateva again surpasses Fehr with a win rate of 38.10% compared to Fehr's 31.03%, suggesting Mateva's relative strength at this level.
• Considering opponent quality, Fehr has faced tougher competitors, averaging a rank of 60.19 compared to Mateva's average opponent rank of 107.94.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Fehr has a slight edge, winning 75% of such sets, barely ahead of Mateva's 70% success rate.
• Recent conversion of break points shows Fehr exploiting opportunities better at 54.17%, against Mateva's conversion rate of 43.48%.

Editorial Prediction (November 25, 2025, UTC):

Natalia Fehr's proficiency in second serve points and her higher percentage of saved breakpoints provide her with a robust baseline advantage over Aleksandra Mateva. These factors are crucial in determining the flow and outcome of matches, carrying a high predictive value.

Aleksandra Mateva does show competency in return games, particularly on opponents' second serves, coupled with a better overall win record over the past year. Nevertheless, Fehr's stronger performance on first serve returns indicates she might be more effective in dictating the pace of this match.

Despite Mateva's better record in lesser tournaments, Fehr's exposure to higher-ranked opponents may have better prepared her for competitive play. Should the match extend to a deciding set, Fehr's slight edge in such situations might prove decisive.

This analysis suggests Natalia Fehr holds a slight advantage and is more likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match, given the outlined strengths and statistical trends.